Safety and Security in Istanbul
Tracking Global Events | 15 November 2022
On November 15th, a bomb rocked a bustling pedestrian avenue in the heart of Istanbul, killing six people, wounding several dozen and leaving panic across Istanbul. Premise released a survey gauging sentiment around safety and security in Istanbul on November 15th, 2022.
Indicators of Voter Suppression and Unrest
- Before the election, more Bolsonaro voters felt the national military would remain impartial than Lula voters. 46% of all respondents either ‘Strongly Agreed’ or ‘Agreed’ that the national military would remain impartial during the presidential elections. However, 61% of Bolsonaro supporters agreed at some level with this statement, while just 33% of Lula supporters believed this would be the case.
- Bolsonaro voters had greater faith that the national military would keep them safe. 50% of all respondents either ‘Strongly Agreed’ or ‘Agreed’ that the national military would keep them safe from internal security threats. But responses fell hard on party lines, with 69% of Bolsonaro supporters agreeing at some level with the statement, while just 29% of Lula supporters believed this would be the case.
- Over half of Brazilians polled believed that there would be unrest and violence if Lula won, whereas less than half believed that to be true if Bolsonaro won. 54% of respondents felt it was “very likely” or “likely” that there would be violence and unrest if Lula won. Meanwhile, only 42% believed this to be true if Bolsonaro won.
Submissions of current roadblocks in support of Bolsonaro
Submissions of post-election protests from contributors in Fortaleza, Curitiba, and Brusque
Methodology
On November 14th, Premise surveyed 352 adults, aged 18+, residing in Istanbul, Turkey. Premise launched this survey utilizing a convenience sampling, a type of nonprobability sampling that is hyper efficient in dynamic events, involving the sample being drawn from the population that is ready to assist.
Premise in Action
Premise offers a unique ability to quickly source information from real people on the ground in hard-to-reach places. Over five million people in 140 countries are using the Premise app on their smartphones, enabling our customers to monitor a situation over time and employ a data-driven approach to timely decision-making.